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2月24日狂人行情分析:泡沫终会破裂,时间证明一切

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狂人本着负责,专注,诚恳的态度用心写每一篇分析文章,特点鲜明,不做作,不浮夸!

本材料仅供学习参考,不构成买卖建议,据此买卖,后果自负

狂人说

各行业大佬每个人都来说一嘴区块链,是区块链真的太热还是自己的行业太难干了,处于风口浪尖的行业总是被一群人吹上天,然后又摔下来,最终受伤的还是那群见风使舵的韭菜,打嘴炮的人都以各种方式获利告终。

对于区块链,狂人认为这项技术是先进的,他既可构建出一个完美的信用社会,又可以实现信息互联网向价值互联网转变,但现在说这些都还太早,很多人根本不知道区块链是什么,也不知道到底该怎么使用区块链,从目前各个机构都想通过发币圈钱的思路来看,区块链技术和数字货币都还在野蛮生长,并没有一个统一的监管措施,没人管的东西就会乱,因为人性的贪婪和无知会把一个朝阳行业搞成垃圾,会让一个本来很有价值的东西变得到处都是泡沫。

ICO的本质就是圈钱,发币并不能为社会带来任何附加价值,仅仅是把一件事情高大上化,然后赚钱,这与传统企业的融资没有本质区别,但是门槛却大大降低,所以引来了大量嗅觉灵敏的人入场抢钱。

最终这些众筹的泡沫都会破掉,大量币因为毫无价值迅速退潮,投资者也会血本无归,找到那些真正要做事情的项目不是一件容易的事,狂人也再次提示大家理性投资,不要盲目的借钱投机炒币

行情分析

比特币:

时隔24小时以后,比特币仍然在区间震荡,没什么好讲的,近期一直都是反弹无量,下跌带量,无论日线图还是小时图都出现一样的情况,上方压力位10700附近是强压区,低成交量反弹是难以逾越的,况且近期各国政府对比特币的监管一波接着一波,基本上利空多于利好,所以无论技术面还是消息面看都不是特别好,资金面来看全球也是相对趋紧的,当然全球资金的流动性还不会影响到几千亿美金的币圈,所以对于比特币,我们还是要多看看技术面和消息面,会对币价影响会更大一些。

2月24日狂人行情分析:泡沫终会破裂,时间证明一切
 

日线图继续在5日线下方震荡,空头的进攻暂时还没有开始,但是这样的K线如果今明两天没有出现跳水行情,空头可能就要休整一段了,所以有可能出现下跌的时间点就是这两天,如果空头没发功,将大概率出现9800-10700的震荡行情,目前来看,向上的可能性依然不是太大,所以还是把仓位降低,机会是等出来的,不是抢出来的。

ETC:

反复割韭菜,走势既不按照支撑压力去走,也不按照量价关系走,总之就是主力自己说了算,完全不按套路来,这样的主力无论什么分析师也没用,反正主力成本就在30-32附近,这样的币想拿住可能需要更多的信仰了,否则做短线会比较麻烦。

NEO:

空投ont,3月1日左右快照,近期这位置下跌没有太大力度,这是典型的糖果行情,由于整体市场不太理想,所以买盘也不是很多,因此综合来看,震荡向上的概率相对较大。

BCH:

支撑位1200支撑力度较强,没有主力参与的情况下是有机会在这个位置反复震荡的,成交量和前期巅峰相比差距非常大,所以不重新放量的情况下,也很难有像样的拉升。

其他主流币基本上都是联动BTC,所以不具备太强的分析逻辑,暂时同BTC看震荡向下即可。长线仓位继续保持在3成左右,短线暂不参与。

山寨币今天出现了部分币种的大幅拉升,这样的币拿不准不要去追,否则站在山顶上要套很久,整体来看依然不具备太强的操作价值,毕竟比特币一旦下跌,所有币种都联动下跌,还是以轻仓休息为主。

作者:数字货币趋势狂人
 
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免责声明:本文行情分析仅供参考,并不构成任何投资意见或建议。风险自控,谢谢。

郑重声明:本文版权归原作者所有,转载文章仅为传播更多信息之目的,如作者信息标记有误,请第一时间联系我们修改或删除,多谢。

【机翻】Bitcoin is Back Over $10K, But Rally Looks Weak – 比特币是过去的10000美元,但涨势看起来弱

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Bitcoin is witnessing a minor corrective rally today, but the bulls may have a tough time regaining control, the technical charts suggest.

CoinDesk’s Bitcoin Price Index (BPI) fell to $9,592.96 at 01:59 UTC – the lowest level for one week. As of writing, the BPI is seen a little higher at $10,090.

It is worth noting that the global average price calculated by CoinMarketCap is holding around $200 higher, largely due to the “Kimchi premium” – that is, BTC is changing hands above $11,000 on Korean exchanges Upbit, Bithumb, and Coinone. Meanwhile, across western exchanges, the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is trading closer to $10,000.

The cryptocurrency has depreciated by 1,86 percent in the last 24 hours, CoinMarketCap indicates.

So, it appears a relief rally has gathered pace, a move indicated by the bullish relative strength index (RSI) divergence seen on the chart (prices as per Coinbase) below.

1-hour chart

Bitcoin is Back Over $10K, But Rally Looks Weak - 比特币是过去的10000美元,但涨势看起来弱

BTC is stuck inside a falling channel, creating lower lows and lower highs. However, the RSI continues to diverge in favor of the bulls, so the corrective rally could be extended further towards $10,250 (falling channel resistance).

However, only a daily close (as per UTC) above $11,228 (38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the sell-off from the record highs), would signal a revival of the rally from Feb. 6 lows below $6,000.

Moreover, the odds are stacked against the bulls as, against the backdrop of the bearish “gravestone” doji reversal on the daily chart reported yesterday, BTC is more likely to extend the decline towards $8,800 (1-hour head and shoulders breakdown target as per the measured height method).

Additionally, as seen in the chart above, the 50-hour moving average (MA), 100-hour MA and 200-hour MA have topped out in favor of the bears. The chart also shows a bearish 50-hour MA and 200-hour MA crossover, as well as a bearish 50-hour MA and 100-hour MA crossover.

View

  • 12-hour view: BTC could rise to $10,250 (falling channel resistance) and possibly to $10,300 (head-and-shoulders neckline resistance), courtesy of the bullish RSI divergence.
    12小时来看:BTC能涨到10250美元(下降通道阻力)和可能的10300美元(海飞丝颈线阻力),看涨的RSI背离的礼貌。
  • Longer-term gains appear unlikely, though, and BTC looks set to test $8,800 over the weekend.
    长期收益似乎不太可能,但与BTC似乎将测试8800美元的周末。
  • A daily close above the 10-day moving average (currently seen at $10,378) would signal bearish invalidation.
    每日收盘超过10天移动均线(目前为10378美元)将暗示看跌无效。
  • Only a daily close (as per UTC) above $11,228 (38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the sell-off from the record highs) would signal a bullish reversal.
    只有日收盘(按UTC)超过11228美元(38.2%斐波纳契折线从纪录高位抛售)会看涨反转信号。

Disclosure: CoinDesk is a subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which has an ownership stake in Coinbase.

Bitcoin image via shutterstock

The leader in blockchain news, CoinDesk is an independent media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. Have breaking news or a story tip to send to our journalists? Contact us at news@coindesk.com.

Disclaimer: This article should not be taken as, and is not intended to provide, investment advice. Please conduct your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency.

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【机翻】French Regulator Says No to Online Crypto Derivatives Ads – 法国监管机构对在线加密衍生广告表示反对

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France’s stock market regulator released a statement about cryptocurrency-tied derivatives on Thursday, which includes a curb on the advertising of such products.

In its statement, L’Autorite Des Marches Financiers (AMF) said that trading platforms should not be allowed to market cryptocurrency derivative products electronically, per regulations that cover derivatives more broadly. The publication followed a months-long review process, according to the AMF.

The agency said:

“The AMF concludes that a cash-settled cryptocurrency contract may qualify as a derivative, irrespective of the legal qualification of a cryptocurrency. As a result, online platforms which offer cryptocurrency derivatives fall within the scope of MiFID 2 and must therefore comply with the authorisation, conduct of business rules, and the EMIR trade reporting obligation to a trade repository. Above all, these products are subject to the provisions of the Sapin 2 law, and notably the ban of advertisements for certain financial contracts.”

The EU’s Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID II) is an update to previous legislation, with the stated goal of providing greater transparency across asset classes in the name of investor protection. The initiative came into effect on Jan. 3.

The AMF’s missive is the latest from the agency on the topic of cryptocurrencies, coming months after it first weighed in initial coin offerings (ICOs). In October, the agency launched an ICO-focused initiative, dubbed the Universal Node to ICO Research Network (UNICORN).

The effort, according to statements at the time, was aimed at “offering to these carriers of projects a frame allowing the development of their operations and to ensure the protection of actors and investors wishing to participate.”

Other regulatory bodies within the EU have been looking into the issue of crypto derivatives as well.

The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) is investigating if such contracts comply with MiFID rules, and announced in January that it was seeking public input on potential rule changes.

Bitcoin and French flag image via Shutterstock

The leader in blockchain news, CoinDesk is an independent media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. Have breaking news or a story tip to send to our journalists? Contact us at news@coindesk.com.

Disclaimer: This article should not be taken as, and is not intended to provide, investment advice. Please conduct your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency.

法国股市监管机构发布了一个关于cryptocurrency绑衍生物在星期四发表的声明,其中包括对此类产品的广告限制。在声明中,市场管理局DES游行金融家(AMF)表示,交易平台不应该允许市场cryptocurrency衍生产品电子化,按规范覆盖更广泛的衍生物。根据AMF的说法,该出版物发表了长达一个月的审查过程。该机构表示:“AMF认为现金结算的cryptocurrency合同可以作为一个衍生物,不论一个cryptocurrency法律资格。因此,在线平台提供cryptocurrency衍生物属于MiFID 2的范围,因此必须遵守授权,业务规则的行为,和埃米尔贸易贸易库报告义务。最重要的是,这些产品都受到了西班牙2法的规定,特别是对某些金融合同广告禁令。”欧盟的金融工具市场指令(MiFID II)是以前的立法更新,与既定目标提供更大的透明度各资产类别的投资者保护的名称。该倡议于1月3日生效。AMF的书信是最新从cryptocurrencies话题社,未来几个月后首次重最初的硬币发行(ICOS)。十月,该社推出一个ICO为中心的倡议,被称为ICO的研究 通用网络节点(独角兽)。根据当时的声明,这项努力的目的是“向这些运营商提供一个框架,允许其业务的发展,并确保希望参与的行为者和投资者的保护”,欧盟其他监管机构也一直在研究衍生工具的问题。欧洲证券与市场管理局(ESMA)正在调查,如果这样的合同符合MiFID的规则,并宣布在一月  正寻求潜在的规则变化的公共投入。比特币和法国国旗的图像通过一个在blockchain新闻的领导者,CoinDesk是一个独立的媒体渠道,争取最高的新闻标准和遵守一套严格的编辑政策。有没有突发新闻或新闻报道给我们的记者?在news@coindesk.com联系我们。

免责声明:本文不应被视为,并不是要提供投资建议。请自己进行深入研究之前,投资任何cryptocurrency。

DerivativesFranceAMFAutorite Des Marches FinanciersMiFID IIMiFIDcryptocurrency derivatives
derivativesfranceamfautorite DES游行financiersmifid iimifidcryptocurrency衍生物

【机翻】Bitcoin Drops Below $10K as Crypto Markets Dip – 比特币跌破10000美元作为加密市场探底

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Signs of bull market exhaustion in the bitcoin market may be having a knock-on effect across cryptocurrencies in general.

All of the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization – bar nano, dentacoin and tether – are in the red today, according to CoinMarketCap data.

Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped over 8 percent in the last 24 hours, as was indicated by the bearish reversal pattern on the daily charts and head-and-shoulders breakdown on the hourly chart.

As of writing, BTC had dropped to $9,958 – down 16.72 percent from the recent high of $11,958 hit on Feb. 20.

As seen above, the biggest loser among the top 10 cryptocurrencies is bitcoin cash (BCH), down 10.58 percent in the last 24 hours. It’s also down 24.11 percent from the recent high of $1,641.40. The cryptocurrency’s ascent was cut short by key resistance around $1,533, shows Bitfinex data.

Also, taking a beating today is Ripple’s XRP. As of writing, the token is changing hands at $0.975152 – down 8.89 percent in the last 24 hours.

CoinDesk reported yesterday that Ripple has added five new payments clients in four countries. Further, San Francisco-based startup has also released white papers hinting at an upgrade for the underlying technology of XRP. However, the today’s drop indicates the good news has been ignored by the markets or is being overshadowed by the broad-based losses in crypto space.

Whatever the case, XRP is looking heavy on the technical charts. Also, it is worth noting the cryptocurrency is down 24.99 percent from the recent high of $1.3 (reached Feb. 10).

Meanwhile, as noted, the few gaining tokens are all out side the top 10, including small caps like nano (up 8.15 percent in last 24 hours) and dentacoin (up 2.48 percent).

The total value of all cryptocurrencies taken together stands at $445 billion – down close to 15 percent from the high of $519 billion seen on Feb. 18. However, that’s still 61 percent above the Feb. 6 low of $276 billion.

Disclaimer: CoinDesk is a subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which has an ownership stake in Ripple.

Prices correct at time of writing.

Roller coaster image via Shutterstock

The leader in blockchain news, CoinDesk is an independent media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. Have breaking news or a story tip to send to our journalists? Contact us at news@coindesk.com.

Disclaimer: This article should not be taken as, and is not intended to provide, investment advice. Please conduct your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency.

在比特币市场牛市衰竭体征可能有一般的效果在cryptocurrencies敲门。所有100大cryptocurrencies市值杆纳米,dentacoin和系绳-在今天的红色,根据coinmarketcap数据。比特币(BTC)已在过去24小时内下降了8%,是在日线图和小时图上的海飞丝击穿看跌反转模式显示。作为写作,BTC已下降到9958美元从2月20日创下的11958美元的近期高点下跌了16.72%。如上所述,前10名中最大的输家是cryptocurrencies比特币现金(BCH),下降10.58%,在过去的24小时。它也从最近的1641.40美元的高点下跌了24.11%。cryptocurrency的上升缩短的关键阻力在1533美元左右,Bitfinex数据显示。同时,挨打的今天是脉动的XRP。截至撰写时,代币在过去24小时易手0.975152美元,下降8.89%。CoinDesk报道昨天波动增加了五个新的支付在四个国家的客户。此外,三藩的初创公司也发布了白皮书暗示为XRP底层技术升级。然而,今天的下跌表明这个好消息被市场忽略了,或者被密码空间的广泛损失所掩盖。无论如何,XRP正在沉重的技术图表。另外,值得注意的是cryptocurrency是从最近的1.3美元高位下跌24.99%(到2月10日)。同时,需要指出的是,少数获得令牌之外的前10名,包括小帽子状的纳米(8.15%的最后24小时)和dentacoin(2.48%)。所有cryptocurrencies采取总价值达4450亿美元下来一起接近15%,从5190亿美元在2月18日看到高。然而,这仍然比2月6日的2760亿美元低了61%。免责声明: CoinDesk是数字货币集团的子公司,其股权在脉动。价格在写作时正确。过山车通过其他Shutterstock图片在blockchain新闻的领导者,CoinDesk是一个独立的媒体渠道,争取最高的新闻标准和遵守一套严格的编辑政策。有没有突发新闻或新闻报道给我们的记者?在news@coindesk.com联系我们。

免责声明:本文不应被视为,并不是要提供投资建议。请自己进行深入研究之前,投资任何cryptocurrency。

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【机翻】Bitcoin Rally Stalls But Bull Revival Isn’t Yet Ruled Out – 比特币涨势停滞,但牛市复苏尚未排除。

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Bitcoin’s failure to find acceptance above the $11,000 mark this week has neutralized the immediate bullish outlook. However, the rally from Feb. 6 lows could resume if prices break above $11,250, the technical charts indicate.

As of writing, CoinDesk’s Bitcoin Price Index (BPI) is seen at $10,345 – down 6 percent in the last 24 hours. The BPI closed (as per UTC) above $11,000 on Feb. 17, but has since struggled to maintain the bullish momentum.

So, it appears the rally from the Feb. 6 low of $5,947 has run out of steam. Further, the BPI chart also shows a bearish reversal pattern.

BPI chart

Bitcoin Rally Stalls But Bull Revival Isn't Yet Ruled Out - 比特币涨势停滞,但牛市复苏尚未排除。

The price action of the last two days confirms a bearish doji reversal. Bitcoin (BTC) clocked a three-week high of $11,767 on Tuesday, but closed (as per UTC) with minor gains at $11,228.24, resulting in a “gravestone doji” candlestick pattern (marked by arrow). Additionally, BTC fell more than 6 percent yesterday, marking a bearish follow-through to the gravestone doji.

Overall, the pattern indicates a short-term bullish-to-bearish trend change.

Daily chart

Bitcoin Rally Stalls But Bull Revival Isn't Yet Ruled Out - 比特币涨势停滞,但牛市复苏尚未排除。

As seen on the chart (prices as per Coinbase) above,  the rally has stalled at the confluence of the 50-day moving average (MA) and the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the sell-off from the record highs.

Hence, $11,228 (38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement) is the key resistance to watch out for. Only a daily close (as per UTC) above that level would revive the bullish outlook.

4-hour chart

Bitcoin Rally Stalls But Bull Revival Isn't Yet Ruled Out - 比特币涨势停滞,但牛市复苏尚未排除。

The observed bearish RSI divergence (higher highs in price and lower highs on the relative strength index) also indicates a short-term bearish trend reversal.

View

  • BTC’s rally from the Feb. 6 lows below $6,000 seems to have run out of steam.
    BTC的反弹从2月6日的低点6000美元以下,似乎已经筋疲力尽。
  • Despite the bearish RSI divergence and the bearish doji reversal, it is still too early to call a top as the 10-day MA is curled up in favor of the bulls.
    尽管熊市RSI背离和看跌十字星反转,还叫上10日均线是蜷缩于多头过早。
  • That said, a daily close (as per UTC) below the 10-day MA would boost the odds of a move lower to $9,181 (23.6 percent Fibonacci retracement).
    也就是说,在10天均线下方的每日收盘价(按UTC)将移动价降低到9181美元(23.6%的斐波纳契回撤)。
  • Bullish scenario: A daily close above $11,228 would mean the rally from the recent lows below $6,000 has resumed. In such a scenario, attention would shift to $14,537 (61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement).
    看涨情景:每日收盘在11228美元上方,意味着近期低点跌破6000美元的升势已经恢复。在这样的情况下,将注意力转移到14537美元(61.8%斐波那契回撤位)。

Disclosure: CoinDesk is a subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which has an ownership stake in Coinbase.

Price chart on phone image via Shutterstock

The leader in blockchain news, CoinDesk is an independent media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. Have breaking news or a story tip to send to our journalists? Contact us at news@coindesk.com.

Disclaimer: This article should not be taken as, and is not intended to provide, investment advice. Please conduct your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency.

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【机翻】Bitcoin Looks to Test $12K After Overnight Sell-Off – 比特币看起来测试$ 12K隔夜后出售

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Bitcoin (BTC) has recovered 38 percent of an overnight sell-off and remains on track to test the long-term inflection point above $12,000, technical charts indicate.

The cryptocurrency ran into offers above $11,700 yesterday, according to CoinDesk’s Bitcoin Price Index (BPI) and fell to $10,691.43 at 04:29 UTC. As of writing, the BPI is back at $11,162 – down 1.5 percent for the last 24 hours.

On Coinbase’s GDAX exchange, BTC was last seen changing hands around $11,079, which is the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the 1,125-point drop that lasted from late American session to late Asian session.

Furthermore, the cryptocurrency is up at least 85 percent from lows seen on Feb. 6. Still, many in the investor community believes BTC is still in a bear market and the sharp rise from the lows below $6,000 is only a “corrective rally” inside the bigger downtrend.

The view has merit, given the cryptocurrency is still trading well below the descending trendline drawn from the Dec. 17 high and Jan. 6 high. However, short-term momentum studies favor upside in BTC prices.

Daily chart

Bitcoin Looks to Test $12K After Overnight Sell-Off - 比特币看起来测试$ 12K隔夜后出售

  • Trendline resistance is seen around $12,300.
    趋势线阻力看12300美元左右。
  • The 5-day moving average (MA) and 10-day MA continue to rise in favor of the bulls.
    5天均线(均线)和10日均线继续上扬,多头看涨。

The previous day’s candle with its long upper shadow (big gap between the intraday high and UTC close) signaled bullish exhaustion. However, the swift recovery from the low of $10,650 has kept the bulls in the game.

That said, the weekly chart is not so bullish for BTC.

Weekly chart

Bitcoin Looks to Test $12K After Overnight Sell-Off - 比特币看起来测试$ 12K隔夜后出售

  • The weekly 10-MA has adopted bearish bias (downward sloping).
    每周10-ma采用偏利空(向下倾斜)。
  • The retreat from $11,175 marks rejection at the weekly 10-day MA.
    从11175美元的撤退标志着每周10天的拒绝。
  • Also, as discussed, the RSI still favors the bears.
    此外,正如所讨论的,RSI仍然有利于熊市。

View

  • The cryptocurrency remains on track to test the long-term inflection point of $12,300 (trendline resistance).
    cryptocurrency仍有望测试12300美元的长期拐点(趋势线阻力)。
  • Bullish Scenario: A daily close (as per UTC) above $12,300 would signal the bear market has ended and add credence to the bullish doji reversal. In such a scenario, BTC could revisit $17,178 (Jan. 5 high) and could possibly break higher towards the record highs around $20,000.
    乐观情景:日收盘(按UTC)12300美元以上将信号熊市已经结束并添加信任的看涨十字星反转。在这样的情况下,BTC重17178美元(1月5日高点),可能打破高向纪录高点20000美元左右。
  • A close (as per UTC) below the upward sloping 10-day MA would signal short-term consolidation.
    接近10天均线下方的均线(UTC)将显示短期盘整。
  • Bearish scenario: A break below $10,297.39 (current weekly low) would add credence to the bearish weekly chart factors and could yield a drop to $9,017.41 (Jan. 17 low). The sell-off would be more intense if the break below $10,297.39 happens after a rejection at the inflection point of $12,300.
    熊市情景:跌破10297.39美元(当前每周低点)将增加日元周线图因素的可信度,并可能跌至9017.41美元(1月17日低点)。抛售如果跌破10297.39美元发生在 12300美元的拐点后排斥反应更加强烈。

Disclosure: CoinDesk is a subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which has an ownership stake in Coinbase

Umbrella image via Shutterstock

The leader in blockchain news, CoinDesk is an independent media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. Have breaking news or a story tip to send to our journalists? Contact us at news@coindesk.com.

Disclaimer: This article should not be taken as, and is not intended to provide, investment advice. Please conduct your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency.

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【机翻】Bitcoin Weathers Overnight Sell-Off, Looks to Test $12K – 比特币的天气一夜之间出售,看起来测试$ 12K

BTCsos阅读(744)

Bitcoin (BTC) has recovered 38 percent of an overnight sell-off and remains on track to test the long-term inflection point above $12,000, technical charts indicate.

The cryptocurrency ran into offers above $11,700 yesterday, according to CoinDesk’s Bitcoin Price Index (BPI) and fell to $10,691.43 at 04:29 UTC. As of writing, the BPI is back at $11,162 – down 1.5 percent for the last 24 hours.

On Coinbase’s GDAX exchange, BTC was last seen changing hands around $11,079, which is the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the 1,125-point drop that lasted from late American session to late Asian session.

Furthermore, the cryptocurrency is up at least 85 percent from lows seen on Feb. 6. Still, many in the investor community believes BTC is still in a bear market and the sharp rise from the lows below $6,000 is only a “corrective rally” inside the bigger downtrend.

The view has merit, given the cryptocurrency is still trading well below the descending trendline drawn from the Dec. 17 high and Jan. 6 high. However, short-term momentum studies favor upside in BTC prices.

Daily chart

Bitcoin Weathers Overnight Sell-Off, Looks to Test $12K - 比特币的天气一夜之间出售,看起来测试$ 12K

  • Trendline resistance is seen around $12,300.
    趋势线阻力看12300美元左右。
  • The 5-day moving average (MA) and 10-day MA continue to rise in favor of the bulls.
    5天均线(均线)和10日均线继续上扬,多头看涨。

The previous day’s candle with its long upper shadow (big gap between the intraday high and UTC close) signaled bullish exhaustion. However, the swift recovery from the low of $10,650 has kept the bulls in the game.

That said, the weekly chart is not so bullish for BTC.

Weekly chart

Bitcoin Weathers Overnight Sell-Off, Looks to Test $12K - 比特币的天气一夜之间出售,看起来测试$ 12K

  • The weekly 10-MA has adopted bearish bias (downward sloping).
    每周10-ma采用偏利空(向下倾斜)。
  • The retreat from $11,175 marks rejection at the weekly 10-day MA.
    从11175美元的撤退标志着每周10天的拒绝。
  • Also, as discussed, the RSI still favors the bears.
    此外,正如所讨论的,RSI仍然有利于熊市。

View

  • The cryptocurrency remains on track to test the long-term inflection point of $12,300 (trendline resistance).
    cryptocurrency仍有望测试12300美元的长期拐点(趋势线阻力)。
  • Bullish Scenario: A daily close (as per UTC) above $12,300 would signal the bear market has ended and add credence to the bullish doji reversal. In such a scenario, BTC could revisit $17,178 (Jan. 5 high) and could possibly break higher towards the record highs around $20,000.
    乐观情景:日收盘(按UTC)12300美元以上将信号熊市已经结束并添加信任的看涨十字星反转。在这样的情况下,BTC重17178美元(1月5日高点),可能打破高向纪录高点20000美元左右。
  • A close (as per UTC) below the upward sloping 10-day MA would signal short-term consolidation.
    接近10天均线下方的均线(UTC)将显示短期盘整。
  • Bearish scenario: A break below $10,297.39 (current weekly low) would add credence to the bearish weekly chart factors and could yield a drop to $9,017.41 (Jan. 17 low). The sell-off would be more intense if the break below $10,297.39 happens after a rejection at the inflection point of $12,300.
    熊市情景:跌破10297.39美元(当前每周低点)将增加日元周线图因素的可信度,并可能跌至9017.41美元(1月17日低点)。抛售如果跌破10297.39美元发生在 12300美元的拐点后排斥反应更加强烈。

Disclosure: CoinDesk is a subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which has an ownership stake in Coinbase

Umbrella image via Shutterstock

The leader in blockchain news, CoinDesk is an independent media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. Have breaking news or a story tip to send to our journalists? Contact us at news@coindesk.com.

Disclaimer: This article should not be taken as, and is not intended to provide, investment advice. Please conduct your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency.

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【机翻】Bitcoin Weathers Overnight Sell-Off, Looks Set to Test $12K – 比特币的天气一夜之间出售,将测试$ 12K

BTCsos阅读(961)

Bitcoin (BTC) has recovered 38 percent of an overnight sell-off and remains on track to test the long-term inflection point above $12,000, technical charts indicate.

The cryptocurrency ran into offers above $11,700 yesterday, according to CoinDesk’s Bitcoin Price Index (BPI) and fell to $10,691.43 at 04:29 UTC. As of writing, the BPI is back at $11,162 – down 1.5 percent for the last 24 hours.

On Coinbase’s GDAX exchange, BTC was last seen changing hands around $11,079, which is the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the 1,125-point drop that lasted from late American session to late Asian session.

Furthermore, the cryptocurrency is up at least 85 percent from lows seen on Feb. 6. Still, many in the investor community believes BTC is still in a bear market and the sharp rise from the lows below $6,000 is only a “corrective rally” inside the bigger downtrend.

The view has merit, given the cryptocurrency is still trading well below the descending trendline drawn from the Dec. 17 high and Jan. 6 high. However, short-term momentum studies favor upside in BTC prices.

Daily chart

Bitcoin Weathers Overnight Sell-Off, Looks Set to Test $12K - 比特币的天气一夜之间出售,将测试$ 12K

  • Trendline resistance is seen around $12,300.
    趋势线阻力看12300美元左右。
  • The 5-day moving average (MA) and 10-day MA continue to rise in favor of the bulls.
    5天均线(均线)和10日均线继续上扬,多头看涨。

The previous day’s candle with its long upper shadow (big gap between the intraday high and UTC close) signaled bullish exhaustion. However, the swift recovery from the low of $10,650 has kept the bulls in the game.

That said, the weekly chart is not so bullish for BTC.

Weekly chart

Bitcoin Weathers Overnight Sell-Off, Looks Set to Test $12K - 比特币的天气一夜之间出售,将测试$ 12K

  • The weekly 10-MA has adopted bearish bias (downward sloping).
    每周10-ma采用偏利空(向下倾斜)。
  • The retreat from $11,175 marks rejection at the weekly 10-day MA.
    从11175美元的撤退标志着每周10天的拒绝。
  • Also, as discussed, the RSI still favors the bears.
    此外,正如所讨论的,RSI仍然有利于熊市。

View

  • The cryptocurrency remains on track to test the long-term inflection point of $12,300 (trendline resistance).
    cryptocurrency仍有望测试12300美元的长期拐点(趋势线阻力)。
  • Bullish Scenario: A daily close (as per UTC) above $12,300 would signal the bear market has ended and add credence to the bullish doji reversal. In such a scenario, BTC could revisit $17,178 (Jan. 5 high) and could possibly break higher towards the record highs around $20,000.
    乐观情景:日收盘(按UTC)12300美元以上将信号熊市已经结束并添加信任的看涨十字星反转。在这样的情况下,BTC重17178美元(1月5日高点),可能打破高向纪录高点20000美元左右。
  • A close (as per UTC) below the upward sloping 10-day MA would signal short-term consolidation.
    接近10天均线下方的均线(UTC)将显示短期盘整。
  • Bearish scenario: A break below $10,297.39 (current weekly low) would add credence to the bearish weekly chart factors and could yield a drop to $9,017.41 (Jan. 17 low). The sell-off would be more intense if the break below $10,297.39 happens after a rejection at the inflection point of $12,300.
    熊市情景:跌破10297.39美元(当前每周低点)将增加日元周线图因素的可信度,并可能跌至9017.41美元(1月17日低点)。抛售如果跌破10297.39美元发生在 12300美元的拐点后排斥反应更加强烈。

Disclosure: CoinDesk is a subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which has an ownership stake in Coinbase

Umbrella image via Shutterstock

The leader in blockchain news, CoinDesk is an independent media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. Have breaking news or a story tip to send to our journalists? Contact us at news@coindesk.com.

Disclaimer: This article should not be taken as, and is not intended to provide, investment advice. Please conduct your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency.

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2月20日狂人行情分析:破五财神来,一起发大财

bitcoin86阅读(682)

狂人本着负责,专注,诚恳的态度用心写每一篇分析文章,特点鲜明,不做作,不浮夸!

本材料仅供学习参考,不构成买卖建议,据此买卖,后果自负

狂人说

今天狂人还是发个简版为主。

过年期间国内都在放假,监管政策暂时告一段落,由于国内的利空预期在过年期间暂时解除,投资者情绪相对释放,加之春节大量投资者以光速的传播速度把投资比特币的消息带给家里和街坊四邻,导致一些国内投资者再次开始跃跃欲试,比特币价格出现了明显的一边倒上涨趋势。或许是国内大妈打破了原本的多空平衡。

但从盘面整体去分析,并没有出现大量资金的认可,我们可以看到,能够跑赢大饼的币寥寥无几,包括主流币也一样,只有几个相对强势的币对比特币交易对是上涨的。所以这样的行情我们仍然看作反弹,不看做反转。所以随着比特币上涨,大家更不应该盲目乐观,应该以一份谨慎的态度去参与这样的反弹,随着上涨,逐步进行减仓操作。

比特币:

昨天提示大家比特币震荡上行为主,压力位在11800附近,从前两天的K线组合来看,是一个比较弱势的两阳夹一阴,攻击形态仍然存在,但上攻力度是较为有限的。来看图。

2月20日狂人行情分析:破五财神来,一起发大财

大方块内拥有巨大的套牢盘,想要完全消化掉至少需要几个月的时间,所以如果有人跟我说几个月之内就能创新高,狂人是不会相信的,除非某经济大国完全放开,机构资金全部入场抢筹码,才有可能走出那样的极端行情,所以短期行情虽然会延续强势,但是中长期来看,还会出现一波较大的回调。

ETC:

主力在前期建仓区建仓的筹码刚刚解套,昨天狂人也给大家提示到,最有可能走出独立行情的非ETC莫属,今天大涨20%,既然主力潜伏了这么久,才刚刚拉回成本区,又敢于在这样的行情拉升,说明已经做好了主升浪的心理准备,所以创新高的可能性就会比较大,昨天买入的今天继续按照5日线持币就可以了,暂时不用动。

LTC:

也是昨天提到的强势币,今天涨幅也相对较大,但是距离上方超级套牢区越来越近,所以逢压力位可以进行减仓操作。

2月20日狂人行情分析:破五财神来,一起发大财

ETH:

一级市场最近比较冷淡,所以ETH需求量比较小,币价走的比较弱,预计未来一段时间仍会持续,但ETH未来会随着币圈整体的回暖,重获自由。

BCH:

在压力区附近持续震荡,上攻动能不强,不过这个压力区经过持续的消化后,会急速降低力度,所以后市仍有机会出现上攻的行情,可以稍作埋伏,但是狗庄的拉升时机总是让人很恶心,不按套路出牌,所以要埋伏的人必须有耐心。

其他的币今天就不分析了,还有昨天说过的NEO和XMR可以继续持币,比特币短期内仍然有上涨空间,所以拥抱一些主流强势币即可,其他的弱势币以及山寨币暂时就不操作了,尤其是山寨币,我们应该暂时规避,大饼这么拉,这些主力都没有来做盘,说明暂时还不具备连续上涨的能力。

作者:数字货币趋势狂人
 
关注数字货币价格行情分析,请到bitcoin86行情分析栏目,官网地址:http://www.bitcoin86.com/hq/
 
免责声明:本文行情分析仅供参考,并不构成任何投资意见或建议。风险自控,谢谢。

郑重声明:本文版权归原作者所有,转载文章仅为传播更多信息之目的,如作者信息标记有误,请第一时间联系我们修改或删除,多谢。

【机翻】Bitcoin Price Ticks Higher Amid Strong Korean Demand – 由于韩国需求强劲,比特币价格上涨。

BTCsos阅读(1674)

Bitcoin Price Ticks Higher Amid Strong Korean Demand - 由于韩国需求强劲,比特币价格上涨。

Bitcoin’s recovery continues apace, with prices passing $11,600 in the morning’s trading.

According to CoinDesk’s Bitcoin Price Index, at around 07:00 UTC today, the cryptocurrency reached $11,645.12, before dropping slightly again. At time of writing, the bitcoin global average was at $11,462.

Notably, valuations are higher over on data provider CoinMarketCap, where high prices in South Korea seem to be inflating the figures. At press time, bitcoin was quoted at $11,591 – up 5.5 percent over 24 hours, and 35 percent for the week.

The site’s market data reveals that, on South Korean exchanges Bithumb and Upbit, bitcoin is changing hands via the BTC/KRW pair at over $12,300.

Bitcoin Price Ticks Higher Amid Strong Korean Demand - 由于韩国需求强劲,比特币价格上涨。
Data via CoinMarketCap.com

That price differential may mark returning confidence in South Korea after regulatory actions and statements in recent weeks caused market fears and a resulting drop in prices globally.

Notably, in news announced this morning, the governor of the country’s financial watchdog, the Financial Supervisory Service, has reportedly said that the government will support “normal” cryptocurrency trading transactions. Though a little vague, the statement would appear to indicate a softening of the regulatory stance after a total ban on exchange trading had been touted as an option on the table.

Bitcoin’s continued rise is also reflected across other cryptocurrencies, with the combined market capitalization now standing at nearly $510 billion – up from $282 billion just two weeks ago.

Bitcoin image via Shutterstock

The leader in blockchain news, CoinDesk is an independent media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. Have breaking news or a story tip to send to our journalists? Contact us at news@coindesk.com.

Disclaimer: This article should not be taken as, and is not intended to provide, investment advice. Please conduct your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency.

比特币的复苏继续快速进行,通过11600美元的价格在上午的交易。根据CoinDesk的比特币价格指数,今天在07:00 UTC,cryptocurrency达到11645.12美元,随后小幅下降了。在撰写本文时,比特币全球平均值为11462美元。值得注意的是,估值高于数据提供商coinmarketcap,凡在韩国的高房价似乎夸大的数字。截至发稿时,比特币报价为11591美元,比24小时上涨5.5%,周内上涨35%。该网站的市场数据显示,韩国交换Bithumb和upbit,比特币转手通过BTC /韩元对超过12300美元。数据通过coinmarketcap.com价格差可能标志着韩国信心回来后监管行动和言论在最近几周,引起了市场的担忧,导致全球价格下降。值得注意的是,在消息今天上午宣布,该国金融监管机构的行长、金融监管服务,有报道说,政府将支持“正常”cryptocurrency交易。尽管有点含糊,但这项声明似乎表明,在全面禁止交易所交易被视为桌上期权后,监管立场将软化。比特币的持续上涨也在其他cryptocurrencies的体现,与总市值近5100亿美元,现在站在了两周前刚刚从2820亿美元。比特币的形象,通过在一个新闻中的领导者,是一个独立的媒体出口,争取最高的新闻标准,遵守严格的编辑政策。有没有突发新闻或新闻报道给我们的记者?在news@coindesk.com联系我们。

免责声明:本文不应被视为,并不是要提供投资建议。请自己进行深入研究之前,投资任何cryptocurrency。

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